2024 So Predictable

For too many of us contemporary culture vultures, everything feels predictable.

Okay, for this culture vulture but let me speak for the group.

Listen up Barbies

We long for something or someone to surprise us since at this point we usually can predict the outcome of an election, the top winners at any major awards show or whether a new person will bomb or crush in their film or TV debut with at least an 85% accuracy rate.

It’s not that we feel brilliant or above it all… most of the time.

OK Chairy

It’s more that there is so much coverage and traditional wisdom around these events everywhere you turn that it’s hard not to be correct.

This is especially true when you’ve made wasting your time following these things your principal side gig because it makes you feel in control of… something.

That is why I’m particularly unhappy to report that after frittering away my Saturday on watching the results of the South Carolina Republican presidential primary, the SAG awards and the Saturday Night Live hosting debut of comedian Shane Gillis (Note: He of the well-documented racist and homophobic jokes, imitations and remarks) not a f-ng thing out of the ordinary happened.

So, so bored

-Trump beat Nikki Haley in her home state of South Carolina by a whopping 20%.

-The Screen Actors Guild awarded Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer) and Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon) top film actor and actress [Note: Turned out it didn’t matter how much WE all wanted an upset by Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers) and Emma Stone (Poor Things)]; and the top honor for best motion picture cast to Oppenheimer to literally NO prognosticator’s surprise.

-Shane Gillis turned out to be as good of a fit for Saturday Night Live as The Chair would be as a guest on one of his infamous podcasts where he does imitations of Asian people, makes Jew jokes and manages to stay timely with snide remarks about the trans community.

At the end of the day, it’s all a bit tiresome.

Meaning, if the world is going to continue to devolve on such sour notes and drag pop culture down along with it, the least it can be is a little unpredictable.

wahhhhh

Perhaps the problem is that the last time the majority of us were truly surprised by a political contest, an awards show or the virgin performance of an entertainer in any field was with the results of the 2016 U.S. presidential election.

We all remember that feeling, right?  Even those who hoped for that outcome were surprised.

Not ready to relive that trauma, please

(Note: Yes, Michael Moore, I know YOU knew and I’m still a fan but please, stop SAYING it).

Look, it’s easy to underestimate or overestimate the political the power of Aspiring Orange Hitler, but it didn’t take a genius to imagine he might emerge with a decisive victory this weekend in a state where six of ten voters identify as White Evangelical Christians. 

What’s harder to figure is how some of them might not fall away given the 91 criminal charges against him, including the rape of one woman and the bribing of another who just happens to be an adult film star… that he had his lawyer pay to stay silent… about the adultery he committed with her… several times. 

You’d think my meter would be broken by now

It also begs the question of thinking that surprise might be coming for him considering his opponent was a popular, two-term former governor of the very state they were running in.

Until you consider that opponent is a WOMAN.  And a non-white one at that. 

Shame on any one of you, or us, for believing the inside skinny that at the very least this would narrow his margin of victory. 

Or that anything could except the literal reappearance of the son of God himself.  (Note: But, well, you do know that a subset of said evangelicals do believe He was anointed by God to become POTUS again, right?)

I mean… what do you say to that?

Speaking of God, or goddesses, this brings us back to the SAG Awards and one of the few divine moments in all of those competitive events on Saturday – the acceptance speech by Barbra Streisand for SAG’s Life Achievement Award.

Right, the Chair is gay, AND Jewish, AND from the New York boroughs so OF COURSE he loves Barbra. 

Love you, mean it.

But that aside – see for yourself if you don’t find her musings on why she became an actor, and her love of the movies and the people who make them, especially honest, disarming and, well, a bit unpredictable given all the buildup.

This is to take nothing away from Pedro Pascal (The Last of Us), who provided the other small surprise of the ceremony when he went onstage to pick up his award for best actor in a TV drama series and admitted he was a little drunk and could get drunk because he thought he’d never win.

Yeah, many predicted one of the Succession guys would but I actually had an inkling PP might get the nod because… well… he never wins, he is THAT good and he is the kind of actor who can admit he drank too much but still manage to be charming and semi-coherent..

Not to mention – the just-a-tad too open, but not unwelcomely open, white shirt.

Gotta love him

Alas, on Saturday Night Live a somewhat uncomfortable Shane Gillis made his entrance onstage wearing a loose-fitting plain black T-shirt and seemed to do everything he could to make amends by not making amends. 

Admitting as he began his monologue, I shouldn’t be here, he then performed a somewhat flat, rather undistinguished ten minutes affirming SNL’s decision more than four years ago to fire him from the cast before he even filmed his first episode.  This was due to the treasure trove of free-wheeling online remarks and bits targeting all sorts of minority and majority groups found after his hire that any bro fest across the country might discuss, but only in the privacy of their own, um, bar. (Note: Sadly, times and tastes in the podcasting world have changed since then, and not necessarily in a good way).

Snooze

What we discovered in Gillis’ SNL appearance this weekend, is what most of us from any of the above targeted groups could have predicted.  In the unforgiving spotlight of network TV, his humor level was revealed to be practically nil because it’s not particularly funny, or clever, or timely to begin with, especially when you take it out of the kind of bars where members of groups like us are not welcomed in the first place.

Jokes about the handicapped, the Black community and the gay community are couched by Gillis confessing he has family members in the first two groups, presumably meaning that anything he says about them is now okay.  Then, by admitting that he himself was once gay for my Mom as a boy until the first time I whacked off, at which point I then began to wonder, when is that bitch gonna leave the house, he seems to grant himself permission to speak about the third.

HEAVY SIGH

So okay, here’s the thing.  Portraying yourself as a little gay boy onstage by making shy little gay bows and sways is the kind of very predictable, unamusing stuff that one expects from the guy. Ditto the jokes about Down’s Syndrome just because his sister has a child born with the condition, or the ethnic ones preceding it since she had adopted Black daughters…

There really was only surprise. 

Why he, in particular, was brought back to host in a time when we all desperately need to get past our differences and laugh at ourselves.  Also, just how utterly predictable and inadequate so much of what is being offered up to us in the public square has become in election year 2024.

Barbra Streisand – “The Way We Were”

Notes on 2023

At this point, it’s probably better to look forward than back. 

And I write this after a lifetime of believing that there is some benefit to understanding the past in order to move forward in the present.

Stay with me here…

But just because it’s probably better doesn’t mean we can’t briefly reflect on 2023.  After all, I’ve also spent a lifetime doing things mostly the hard way and its mostly worked for me.

So why stop now?

Oh, 2023.

here we go!

I so wanted to do a best of and worst person list.  The former would have included all sorts of movies, TV shows and music that many of you would have agreed with and some might have found… lacking.

As for the worst person of 2023 – well, isn’t it reassuring to know we can still ALL agree on some things?

F-CK HIM and the diapers he rode in on this year and next.

Burn baby burn

Breathe in all that fresh air now that, at least here, he’s no longer part of the equation.

Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh!!!!!!

There were worse years than 2023 but there were also better ones.  After all, how bad can it be when the polar opposite of films – Oppenheimer and Barbie – together grossed more than $2.3 BILLION dollars worldwide and are credited with temporarily “saving” the theatrical movie business?

All hails these queens!

More importantly, since at this point, I’m happy not to mix it up with phone scrolling strangers without masks sitting next to me – Barbenheimer showed us that polar opposites can play nicely with each other, share the stage and produce a great result for everyone.

Perhaps we can learn from it?

Or not.

We can all watch the world burn!

Hi Zazzzzzz. 

Hi MAGA. 

Hi moron who cut in front of me in traffic last week but wound up behind a bus that allowed me to amble far past them thanks to the green light up ahead the bus ignored.

heh, heh, heh.

See, for better or worse we humans will always rise and fall on our best and worst instincts.

Meaning, who in the media predicted early on that many months of union strikes by the Writers Guild of America, the United Auto Workers and the Screen Actors Guild would net previously unheard-of gains in salary, plant re-openings, residuals and, at least, begin to address the unregulated use of AI?

It’s far from perfect but it’s a tribute to, as they say, the will of the people.

For-ever-ever

As is the bloody war in Ukraine.

As for the Hamas invasion of Israel and Israel’s invasion of Gaza, that’s a f-n mess.

Just when one hand of humanity gets it right the other becomes hopelessly entangled in all sorts of sh-t.

Even though I don’t listen much to Taylor Swift music, if at all, I can’t say I’m not thrilled her 2023 tour grossed in excess of $1 billion, she and the affable, well-dressed football star Travis Kelce seem deliciously happy together and that she gives a lot of time and energy to her devoted fans as well as millions of dollars and social media promotion to humanistic political causes and the politicians that support them.

Chairy is a stan!!!

And no, I’m not entirely trolling for readers by stating this. 

In fact, I have plans with a friend to watch her concert movie next week.

We might even order BRACELETS!!!!

This will take nothing away from my love of Maestro and the Leonard Bernstein/Bradley Cooper/Carey Mulligan story.  It will only prove that, like Barbenheimer, I can appreciate two polar opposites simultaneously.

Like everyone else, I had challenges this year.  My Dad died early in 2023 (Note: He was 94 years old, lived his like exactly the way he wanted and at the end of the day seemed really happy).  I also finally got Covid in mid-September and am still feeling some incredibly annoying, lingering side effects from the virus that can’t seem to learn the age-old show business lesson of ceding the stage.

Though which of us can?

Time to go!

Nevertheless, I have a great spouse, excellent friends and I don’t look half bad for a guy who last month was offered an unsolicited senior citizen discount by some checker at the market.

I won’t forget it

Yes, I took it.  But still……I was wearing a baseball hat, stylish glasses and slimming workout clothes!

At the end of the day all of this is beside the point because I often judge the year, and the state of our world, by the subjects of the original screenplays and TV pilots my students are writing about during the semester.

This fall all I got were dystopic, apocalyptic, cynical, murderous and horrific worlds.  There was one bittersweet love story but you couldn’t quite call it happy.

What there was not was a SINGLE out-and-out comedy.

send help!

This, more than anything, tells me too few of us are doing enough laughing and experiencing the bare minimum of joy.

My hope in the coming year for all of them, and all of us, is to acknowledge and embrace the idea that humor is an important tool in survival, and in life.

Barbenheimer, you know.

“Closer to Fine – Brandi Carlile and Catherine Carlile (from Barbie soundtrack)